Climate variability

Decadal modulation of global surface temperature by internal climate variability


  • 1

    Kosaka, Y. & Xie, SP. Recent hiatus in global warming linked to the cooling of the surface of the equatorial Pacific. Nature 501, 403–407 (2013).

    CASE
    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 2

    Fyfe, JC, Gillett, NP & Zwiers, FW Overestimation of global warming over the past 20 years. Nature Clim. Switch 3, 767-769 (2013).

    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 3

    IPCC Climate change 2013: the basis of physical science (eds Stocker, TE et al.) (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2013).

    Google Scholar

  • 4

    Trenberth, KE & Fasullo, J. An apparent interruption in global warming? The future of the earth 1, 19-32 (2013).

    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 5

    England, M. et al. Recent increase in wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming interrupted. Nature Clim. Switch 4, 222-227 (2014).

    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 6

    Kaufmann, RK, Kauppi, H., Mann, ML & Stock, JH Reconciling anthropogenic climate change with observed temperature 1998-2008. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. United States 108, 11790-11793 (2011).

    CASE
    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 7

    Schmidt, GA, Shindell, DT & Tsigaridis, K. Reconciling Warming Trends. Nature Geosci. 7, 158-160 (2014).

    CASE
    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 8

    Salomon, S. et al. The constantly changing “background” stratospheric aerosol layer and global climate change. Science 333, 866-870 (2011).

    CASE
    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 9

    Fyfe, JC, von Salzen, K., Cole, JNS, Gillett, NP & Vernier, JP. Surface response to changes in stratospheric aerosols in a coupled atmosphere-ocean model. Geophys. Res. Lett. 40, 584-588 (2013).

    Item

    Google Scholar

  • ten

    Santer, B. et al. Volcanic contribution to decadal changes in tropospheric temperature. Nature Geosci. 7, 185-189 (2014).

    CASE
    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 11

    Zhang, Y., Wallace, JM & Battisti, DS Interdecadal variability of ENSO type: 1900–93. J. Clim. ten, 1004-1020 (1997).

    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 12

    Mantua, NJ, Hare, SR, Zhang, Y., Wallace, JM & Francis, RC Interdecadal Pacific climatic oscillation with impacts on salmon production. Taurus. A m. Meteorol. Soc. 78, 1069-1079 (1997).

    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 13

    Power, S, T., Casey, C., Folland, A., Colman, A & Mehta, V. Interdecadal modulation of ENSO’s impact on Australia. Clim. Dynam. 15, 319-324 (1999).

    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 14

    Deser, C, Phillips, AS & Hurrell, JW Interdecadal climate variability in the Pacific: links between the tropics and the North Pacific during the boreal winter since 1900. J. Clim. 17, 3109-3124 (2004).

    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 15

    Dai, A. The influence of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation on precipitation in the United States between 1923 and 2010. Clim. Dynam. 41, 633-646 (2013).

    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 16

    Meehl, GA, Arblaster, JM, Fasullo, JT, Hu, A. & Trenberth, KE Model-based evidence of heat absorption in deep oceans during periods of surface temperature hiatus. Nature Clim. Switch 1, 360-364 (2011).

    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 17

    Meehl, GA, Hu, A., Arblaster, J., Fasullo, JT & Trenberth, KE Decadal climate variability forced externally and internally generated in the Pacific. J. Clim. 26, 7298-7310 (2013).

    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 18

    Seager, R., Harnik, N., Kushnir, Y., Robinson, W. & Miller, J. Hemispherically symmetrical mechanisms of climate variability. J. Clim. 16, 2960-2978 (2003).

    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 19

    Trenberth, KE, Caron, JM, Stepaniak, DP & Worley, S. Evolution of El Niño – Southern Oscillation and Global Atmospheric Surface Temperatures. J. Geophys. Res. 107, 4065 (2002).

    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 20

    Balmaseda, MA, Trenberth, KE & Källén, E. Distinctive climatic signals in the reanalysis of the global thermal content of the oceans. Geophys. Res. Lett. 40, 1754-1759 (2013).

    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 21

    Neelin, JD Climate change and climate modeling (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2011).

    Google Scholar

  • 22

    DelSole, T., Tippett, MK & Shukla, J. An important component of the unforced multidecadal variability of twentieth century global warming. J. Clim. 24, 909-926 (2011).

    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 23

    Wu, Z., Huang, NE, Wallace, JM, Smoliak, BV & Chen, X. On the time trend of global mean surface temperature. Clim. Dynam. 37, 759-773 (2011).

    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 24

    Liu, ZY Dynamics of Interdecadal Climate Variability: A Historical Perspective. J. Clim. 25, 1963-1995 (2012).

    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 25

    Chen, J., Del Genio, AD, Carlson, BE & Bosilovich, MG The spatiotemporal structure of twentieth century climatic variations in observations and reanalyses. Part II: Pan-decadal variability in the Pacific. J. Clim. 21, 2634-2650 (2008).

    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 26

    Hansen, J., Ruedy, R., Sato, M. & Lo, K. Global change in surface temperature. Rev. Geophys. 48, RG4004 (2010).

    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 27

    Morice, CP, Kennedy, JJ, Rayner, NA & Jones, PD Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature changes using a set of observational estimates: the HadCRUT4 dataset. J. Geophys. Res. 117, D08101 (2012).

    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 28

    Barnston, AG & Livezey, RE Classification, seasonality and persistence of low frequency atmospheric circulation models. Mon Wealth. Tower. 115, 1083-1126 (1987).

    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 29

    Kay, JE et al. The Community Earth System Model (CESM) housing project: A community resource for studying climate change in the presence of internal climate variability. Taurus. A m. Meteorol. Soc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00255.1 (2014)

  • 30

    Taylor, KE, Stouffer, RJ & Meehl, GA An overview of CMIP5 and the design of the experiment. Taurus. A m. Meteorol. Soc. 93, 485-498 (2012).

    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 31

    Santer, B. et al. Identify human influences on atmospheric temperature. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. United States 110, 26-33 (2013).

    CASE
    Item

    Google Scholar

  • 32

    Lanzante, JR Resistant, robust and non-parametric techniques for analyzing climate data: theory and examples, including applications to historical data from radiosonde stations. Int. J. Climatol. 16, 1197-1226 (1996).

    Item

    Google Scholar


  • Leave a Reply

    Your email address will not be published.