Climate models

The great failure of climate models

Computer models of the climate are at the heart of calls to ban the cheap, reliable energy that powers our thriving economy and promotes healthier, longer lives. For decades, these models have projected dramatic warming small fossil increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations, with catastrophic consequences. Yet real-world data doesn’t cooperate. They only show a […]

Climate models

How climate models might be better than we think

Chaos theory encompasses vast swaths of mathematics and physics, but it was Edward Lorenz who immortalized it in popular culture. Its now famous 1972 presentation, which summarized his decade-long work in the field, focused on a single provocative question: Can the flapping of a butterfly’s wings in Brazil trigger a tornado in Texas? Although he […]