Climate models

Latest climate models should not increase projections of future warming

A notable scenario in the climate system over the past two years has been the effort to make sense of the latest generation of climate models. In support of the upcoming report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), global climate models have submitted their simulations to the latest database, known as CMIP6. These […]

Climate models

What COVID forecasters can learn from climate models

A second national lockdown began in England on November 5.Credit: Hollie Adams / AFP / Getty Epidemiologists predicting the spread of COVID-19 should adopt climate modeling methods to make predictions more reliable, say computer scientists who have spent months auditing one of the pandemic’s most influential models. In a study that was uploaded to the […]

Climate models

The past is the key to predicting the future climate – Models should be tested by simulating past climates

Past carbon dioxide concentrations (left) versus possible future emission scenarios (right): the rate of current emissions is much faster – occurring over decades – unlike geological changes, which occur over millions of years. If emissions continue unabated, carbon dioxide levels could reach or exceed values ​​associated with warm climates of the past, such as the […]